Macroeconomics Factors Affecting Net Exports of Oil Palm Industry in Malaysia
Abstract
This quantitative study investigates the impact of oil palm production, oil palm pricing, inflation, and GDP growth rate on the net exports of Malaysia's oil palm industry. This research is aimed at analyzing how the net export of oil palm relates to certain macroeconomic variables. This study has employed multiple regression analysis through Ordinary Least Squares for 26 years of time series data from 1996 to 2020 in Malaysia. The findings from this study improve our understanding of the major factors contributing to net exports in the oil palm industry. Palm oil production, price, as well as GDP growth, drive net export of palm oil in Malaysia found during this research. An increase in production leads to the reduced amount of palm oil exported, all other things remaining constant. Conversely, inflation and GDP growth are major drivers behind the increased net export of palm oil.
Downloads
References
Abazue, C. M., Er, A. C., Ferdous Alam, A. S. A., & Begum, H. (2015). Oil palm smallholders and its sustainability practices in Malaysia. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 6(6 S4), 482-488. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5901/mjss.2015.v6n6s4p482
Ahmad, A., Osman, L. H., Omar, A. R. C., Rahman, M. R., & Ishak, S. (2020). Contributions and challenges of palm oil to smallholders in Malaysia. International Journal of Scientific and Technology Research, 10(6), 269-273.
Ahmad, N. S., Siti, N. M. A., Rahman, R. A., & Isa, N. M. (2019). The economic impact of the palm oil industry on the Malaysian economy: An input-output analysis. International Journal of Economics, Management and Accounting, 27(2), 229-248.
Azman-Saini, W. N. W., Ahmed, A. D., & Azman-Saini, W. N. W. (2019). Land-use policies, oil palm expansion, and deforestation in Malaysia. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 26(1), 425-434
Bank Negara Malaysia (2023) Macrotrends. Malaysia GDP Growth Rate 1961-2023. Macrotrends.net. https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/MYS/malaysia/gdp-growth-rate
Bank Negara Malaysia (2023) Malaysia Inflation Rate 1960-2023. Macrotrends.net. https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/MYS/malaysia/inflation-rate-cpi
Chong, L. L., Azman-Saini, W. N. W., & Baharumshah, A. Z. (2017). Does palm oil price influence Malaysia's stock market performance? Empirical evidence from panel data analysis. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 38(2), 61-80
Deli, M. M., Asha’ari, M. J., Rauf, U. A. A., Jamil, A. H., Abdullah, S. I. N. W., Harun, S. N., & Purwati, A. A. (2023). Issues of Human Resource in the Malaysian Palm Oil Industry. International Journal of Academic Research in Progressive Education and Development, 12(3). DOI: https://doi.org/10.6007/IJARPED/v12-i3/18995
Goh, C. S., Azman-Saini, W. N. W., & Chin, L. C. (2021). Dynamic linkages between crude palm oil prices, economic growth, and sectoral stock markets in Malaysia. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 11(1), 328-338.
Hassan, N. M., Zulkifli, N. F., & Ramli, M. (2018). The impact of land availability on oil palm plantation and deforestation in Malaysia. Land Use Policy, 72, 425-433.
Ilmas, N., Amelia, M., & Risandi, R. (2022). Analysis of the effect of inflation and exchange rate on exports in 5-year ASEAN countries (Years 2010–2020). Jurnal Ekonomi Trisakti, 2(1), 121-132. DOI: https://doi.org/10.25105/jet.v2i1.13561
Index Mundi (2023). Malaysia Palm Oil Production by Year (1000 MT). Indexmundi.com. https://www.indexmundi.com/agriculture/?country=my&commodity=palm-oil&graph=production
Index Mundi (2023). Palm oil - Monthly Price (Malaysian Ringgit per Metric Ton) - Commodity Prices - Price Charts, Data, and News. Indexmundi.com. https://www.indexmundi.com/commodities/?commodity=palm-oil&months=360¤cy=myr
Isa, M. A. M., Baharim, A. T., Mohamed, S., Noh, M. K. A., Nasrul, F., Ibrahim, W. M. F. W., & Hassan, S. S. (2020). Crude Palm Oil Price Fluctuation in Malaysia. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 10(5), 879–892. DOI: https://doi.org/10.6007/IJARBSS/v10-i5/7319
Jazuli, N. A., & Kamu, A. (2019). Factors Affecting the Export Demand of Malaysian Palm Oil. AGROLAND: The Agricultural Sciences, 6, 89-99.
Kannan, S., Mohamed, Z. B., & Hassan, Z. (2018). The relationship between economic growth and palm oil production in Malaysia: A time series analysis. Journal of Asia-Pacific Business, 19(3), 228-244.
Khamarudin, M., Salahuddin, N., & Isa, N. M. (2021). Agrarian Sector: Past, Present, and Future Directions toward Sustainable Palm Oil Plantations based on World Demand. In Modelling Economic Growth in Contemporary Malaysia (pp. 81-90). Emerald Publishing Limited. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-80043-806-420211008
Kumar, V., Pan, R., Rivera, J., Hutchins, M. J., Endres, W. J., Gershenson, J. K., Michalek, D. J., & Lau, E. T. L., Azman-Saini, W. N. W., & Baharumshah, A. Z. (2021). Technological progress and total factor productivity in the Malaysian palm oil industry. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development, 42(1), 19-44.
Ludin, N. A., Phoumin, H., Chachuli, F. S. M., & Hamid, N. H. (2022). Sustainable Energy Policy Reform in Malaysia. In Revisiting Electricity Market Reforms: Lessons for ASEAN and East Asia (pp. 251-281). Singapore: Springer Nature Singapore. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-4266-2_11
Mahayuddin, N. E. M. M., Mustaffa, S. N. A. S., Shukor, H., Tamayo, J. P., & Kasim, F. H. (2022, November). Biodiesel production in Malaysia: Current status and challenges. In AIP Conference Proceedings (2541, 1). AIP Publishing. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0113176
Malaysia Palm Oil Board (2023). Malaysia: 100 years of resilient palm oil economic performance. Journal of Oil Palm Research. Mpob.gov.my. http://jopr.mpob.gov.my/malaysia-100-years- of-resilient-palm-oil-economic-performance-review-article/
Mohd Yusoff, Z. Z., Bahrudin, N. Z., Ismail, I., Bujang, I., Che Yahya, N., & Kaliani Sundram, V. P. (2022). Quantitative Research Methods (3rd ed.). MLSCA Asian Academy.
Nambiappan, B., Ismail, A., Hashim, N., Ismail, N., Shahari, D. N., Idris, N. A. N., ... & Kushairi, A. (2018). Malaysia: 100 years of resilient palm oil economic performance. Journal of Oil Palm Research, 30(1), 13-25. DOI: https://doi.org/10.21894/jopr.2018.0014
Observatory of Economic Complexity (2021). Malaysia (MYS) Exports, Imports, and Trade Partners. OEC. https://oec.world/en/profile/country/mys?redirect=true&subnationalFlowSelector=flow0&subnational TimeSelector=timeYear&yearSelector1=2021
Parveez, G. K. A., Kamil, N. N., Zawawi, N. Z., Ong-Abdullah, M., Rasuddin, R., Loh, S. K., ... & Idris, Z. (2022). Oil palm economic performance in Malaysia and R&D progress in 2021. J Oil Palm Res, 34(2), 185-218.
Trading Economics (2023). Palm Oil - 2023 Data - 1980-2022 Historical - 2024 Forecast - Price - Quote - Chart. Tradingeconomics.com. https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/palm-oil
Rahman, R. A., Abidin, N. Z., & Rahman, R. A. (2016). Labor migration in Malaysia's palm oil plantation sector: Impacts on receiving and sending regions. International Migration, 54(2), 163-177.
Rahman, R. A., Abidin, N. Z., & Rahman, R. A. (2019). The relationship between international palm oil prices and Malaysian palm oil export revenue. International Journal of
Rajakal, J. P., Ng, F. Y., Zulkifli, A., How, B. S., Sunarso, J., Ng, D. K., & Andiappan, V. (2024). Analysis of current state, gaps, and opportunities for technologies in the Malaysian oil palm estates and palm oil mills towards net-zero emissions. Heliyon, 10(10). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30768
Ridwannulloh, R., & Sunaryati, S. (2018). The determinants of Indonesian crude palm oil export: Gravity model approach. Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 19(2), 134-141. DOI: https://doi.org/10.18196/jesp.19.2.5004
Sabariah, N., & Rusmawati, I. (2014). The Impact of Palm Oil Price on the Malaysian Stock Market Performance. Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, 6(1), 1-9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v6i1.464
Seng, K. W. K., & Ahmad, M. Y. (2017). Factors influencing Malaysian palm oil export demand in the long run and short run. International Journal of Business and Management, 1(2), 204-210.
Statista (2022). Malaysia: export value of palm oil. Statista. https://www.statista.com/statistics /794679 /export-value-of-palm-oil Malaysia/#:~:text=In%202022%2C%20the%20export%20value, ringgit%20in%20the%20previous%2 0year
Statista (2021). Malaysia: palm oil share of GDP. Trading Economies. https://www.statista.com/statistics/952996/malaysia-palm-oil-share-of-gdp/
Studenmund, A. H. (2011). Using Econometrics. Prentice Hall.
Tandra, H., Suroso, A. I., Syaukat, Y., & Najib, M. (2022). The determinants of competitiveness in global palm oil trade. Economies, 10(6), 132 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/economies10060132
Widad, Z. (2022). Analysis determinants of Indonesian palm oil export volume to ten major destination countries. Journal Of International Development Economics, 1(02), 85-101. DOI: https://doi.org/10.62668/jide.v1i02.1117
Zamri, M. F., Milano, J., Shamsuddin, A. H., Roslan, M. E., Salleh, S. F., Rahman, A. A., ... & Mahlia, T. I. (2022). An overview of palm oil biomass for power generation sector decarbonization in Malaysia: Progress, challenges, and prospects. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Energy and Environment, 11(4), e437. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/wene.437
Ziaei, S. M., & Ali, I. (2021). Commodity exports and macroeconomic performance: The case of palm oil in Malaysia. Cogent Economics & Finance, 9(1), 1901388. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1901388
Copyright (c) 2024 Azhan Rashid Senawi, Shahariah Asmuni, Zaidi Mohd Aminuddin, Saliza Sulaiman, Saliza Zuraidah Ismail, Nur Ilyia Natasha Abd Kadir, Nur Sarah Dayana Kamarul Zahrin, Nur Aimi Shahirah Nasirrudin, Mohamad Miqdam Ahmad Yusoff
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Author (s) should affirm that the material has not been published previously. It has not been submitted and it is not under consideration by any other journal. At the same time author (s) need to execute a publication permission agreement to assume the responsibility of the submitted content and any omissions and errors therein. After submission of revised paper in the light of suggestions of the reviewers, the editorial team edits and formats manuscripts to bring uniformity and standardization in published material.
This work will be licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) and under condition of the license, users are free to read, copy, remix, transform, redistribute, download, print, search or link to the full texts of articles and even build upon their work as long as they credit the author for the original work. Moreover, as per journal policy author (s) hold and retain copyrights without any restrictions.