The Determinants of Household Debt in Malaysia

  • Norliza Che Yahya Universiti Teknologi MARA
  • Bushra Mohd Zaki Universiti Teknologi MARA
  • Nik Norain Izzati Nik Azid Universiti Teknologi MARA
  • Nur Fatihah Mohd Ali Universiti Teknologi MARA
  • Nor Amanie Najihah Hussain Universiti Teknologi MARA
Keywords: Household Debt, Real Interest Rate, Inflation Rate, Unemployment Rate, Household Consumption Expenditure, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Housing Price Index (HPI), Malaysia.

Abstract

This study aims to observe the determinants of the factors affecting household debt in Malaysia. This study has listed six independent variables that would affect Malaysia’s household debt: real interest rate, inflation rate, unemployment rate, household consumption expenditure, gross domestic product (GDP), and housing price index (HPI). This research was conducted by using annual data for 30 years (1991-2021); this study also used a quantitative approach to the collection of data using secondary data such as the website of the World Bank, Department of Statistics Malaysia, Eikon Thomson Reuters, and Bank Negara Malaysia. A theoretical model with the hypothesized relationships was tested with the help of the structural equation modelling procedures. Findings showed that the unemployment rate and gross domestic product have a positive and significant relationship with household debt. These determinants are directly affecting household debt in Malaysia, especially in microeconomic factors. This study will contribute to a better understanding that household debt can be influenced by other factors. Further study on the other determinants of household debt may result in varying results.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abd Samad, K., Mohd Daud, S. N. & Mohd Dali, N. R. S. (2020). Determinants of household debt in emerging economies: A macro panel analysis. Cogent Business and Management, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2020.1831765
Abd Rahman, S. & Masih, M. (2015). Increasing household debts and its relation to GDP, interest rate and house price: Malaysia's Perspective. MPRA Paper No. 62365
Agarwal, S., & Liu, C. (2003). Determinants of credit card delinquency and bankruptcy: Macroeconomic factors. Journal of Economics and Finance, 27(1), 75–84. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02751591
Amanda, Y. (2022, August 18). Will more Malaysians fall into the household debt trap? Malaymail.
Azwani Mohamad A. N., Nabihah Wan Zaidi, W., & Mohamad, Z. (2019). The Determinants that Influence Household Debt Case in Malaysia. KnE Social Sciences, 3(13), 1215. https://doi.org/10.18502/kss.v3i13.4278
Barrot, J., Loualiche, E., Plosser, M., & Sauvagnat, J. (2022). Import Competition and Household Debt. The Journal of Finance, 77(6), 3037–3091. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13185
Beck, R., Jakubik, P., & Piloiu, A. (2015). Key determinants of non-performing loans: new evidence from a global sample. Open Economies Review, 26, 525-550.
Bellotti, T., & Crook, J. (2009). Credit scoring with macroeconomic variables using survival analysis. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 60(12), 1699–1707. https://doi.org/10.1057/jors.2008.130
Birruntha, S. (2022). Malaysia’s household debt-to-GDP ratio remains high. Retrieved from https://themalaysianreserve.com/2022/07/21/malaysias-household-debt-to-gdp-ratio-remains-high/
Bitros, G. C. & Viladi, M. (2022). Monetary policy and the real interest rate. 1–48. https://www2.aueb.gr/conferences/Crete2022/Papers/Vidali.pdf
Bogdan, A. D., Adrian, E., C?t?lina, A. H., Carmen, O. & Florin, B. (2022). Macroeconomic Determinants of Household Debt in OECD Countries. Sustainability, MDPI, 14(7), 1-14
Cai Yunchao, S. A. (2020). Household Debt and Household Spending Behavior: Evidence from Malaysia. Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, 111-120.
Canakci, M. (2021). The Impact of Monetary Policy on Household Debt in China. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business.
Catherine, S. F. H., Yusof, J. M. & Mainal, S. A. (2016). Household debt, macroeconomic fundamentals and household characteristics in Asian developed and developing countries. In Social Sciences (Pakistan), 11(18), 4358–4362.
Daniel Leigh, D. I. (2012). Dealing With Household Debt. International Monetary Fund. Data, C. (2022). Malaysia Household Debt: % of GDP. Retrieved from https://www.ceicdata.com/en/indicator/malaysia/household-debt--of-nominal-gdp
Schooley, K. D. & Worden, D. D. (2010). Fueling the Credit Crisis: Who Uses Consumer Credit and What Drives Debt Burden? Business Economic, 45, 266–276.
Group, T. W. (2022). Real interest rate (%). Retrieved November 2022, from https://databank.worldbank.org/metadataglossary/world-development- indicators/series/FR.INR.RINR
Khan, H. H. A., Abdullah, H. & Samsudin, S. (2016). Modelling the determinants of Malaysian household debt. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 6(4), 1468–1473.
Kusairi, S., Suriyani, M.,Musdholifah, M. & Chang, S. (2019). Labor Market and Household Debt in Asia Pacific Countries: Dynamic Heterogeneous Panel Data Analysis. Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy, 10(2), 1-15.
Lee, Y. L. E., Charun, V. S., & Zaki, H. H. M. (2021). Factors affecting accumulation of household debts in Malaysia. International Journal of Management, Finance and Accounting, https://doi.org/10.33093/ijomfa.2021.2.1.2
Lim, C. K. N., Yow, C. L., & Chow, W. O. (2020). Coping with Teaching and Learning Creative Arts in Malaysian Public Universities in The Time of Covid-19 Pandemic. International Journal of Academic Research in Business & Social Sciences, 11(14). https://doi.org/10.6007/ijarbss/v11-i14/8942
Lugo, O. A. M. (2008). The differential impact of real interest rates and credit availability on private investment: evidence from Venezuela. Transmission Mechanisms for Monetary Policy in Emerging Market Economies Author & Abstract, 35(35), 501–537.
Mainal, A. S., Catherine S. F. & Jamaliah Mohd Yusof. (2016). Preliminary Investigation on the Determinants of Household Debt Burden. Springer Science+BusinessMedia Singapore, 479-488. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-287-426-9_42
Ma’in, M., Tajuddin, N. A., & Nathan, S. B. S. (2016). Household Debt and Macroeconomic Variables in Malaysia. 121–130. https://doi.org/10.15405/epsbs.2016.11.02.12
Malay Mail. (2022, August 18). Will more Malaysians fall into the household debt trap? Retrieved fromhttps://www.malaymail.com/news/what-you-think/2022/08/18/will-more-malaysians-fall-into-the-household-debt-trap
Malaysia, D. O. (2022, November). Household Consumption Expenditure. Retrieved November 2022, from https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r=column/cglossary2&menu_id=eWd2VFdIZ2xpdzBmT2Y0a0pweDcwQT09&alpha=VEJ3a0ZaUlFIR040Tnhndz hQWnlBZz09
Malaysia, D. O. (2022, November). National Accounts. What is the Gross Domestic Product (GDP)? Retrieved November 2022, from https://www.dosm.gov.my/v1/index.php?r= column/cone&menu_id=dUtRR1JYWjk2TEJha1BrZml0REY4UT09#:~:text=What%20is%20Gross%20Domestic%20Product,for%20consumption%20of%20fixed%20capital
Markets, T. E. (2022, March 30). Malaysia’s household debt-to-GDP ratio falls to 89% as at end-2021 from a record 93.2% a year ago. Retrieved from https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/malaysias-household-debttogdp-ratio- falls-89-end2021-record-932-year-ago
Messai, A.S. and Jouini, F. (2013) Micro and Macro Determinants of Non-Performing Loans. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 3, 852-860.
Mohamed, S., Mohamadon, S. S., Ibrahim, W. M. F. W., Nasrul, F., Hassan, S. S., Isa, M. A. M., & Noh, M. K. A. (2020). The Macroeconomic Determinants of Household Debt in Malaysia. International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 10(5). https://doi.org/10.6007/ijarbss/v10-i5/7425
Nomatye, A. A. (2017). Investigating the Macroeconomic Determinants of Household Debt in South Africa. MPRA
Organization for Economic. (2020). Household accounts - Household debt - OECD Data. The OECD. https://data.oecd.org/hha/household-ebt.htm#:~:text=Houshold%20debt%20is%20defined%20as
Reserve Bank of Australia. (2019). Unemployment: Its Measurement and Types. Reserve Bank of Australia, 1–5. https://www.rba.gov.au/education/resources/explainers/unemployment-its- measurement-and-types.html
Roseline, T. K. & Ronney, N. (2021). Determinants of household over-indebtedness in South Africa. International Journal of Business and Economic Development, 9(2), 11-24.
Sekaran, U. and Bougie, R. (2009) Research Methods for Business: A Skill-Building Approach. 5th Edition, John Wiley and Sons Inc., Hoboken.
Turinetti, E., & Zhuang, H. (2011). Exploring Determinants Of U.S. Household Debt. Journal of Applied Business Research, 27(6), 85. https://doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v27i6.6468
Vitor, C. (2013), Macroeconomic determinants of the credit risk in the banking system: The case of the GIPSI, Economic Modelling, 31, (C), 672-683
Yahaya, S. N. & Sarwe, N. A. (2019). The Impact of Macroeconomic Factor on Household Debt in Malaysia: A Theoretical Framework. International Journal of Human and Technology Interaction (IJHaTI), 3(1), 87–94.
Zain, M. Z, Ahmad Atory, A. N, & Hanafi, A. S. (2019). Determinants of Household Debt in Malaysia from the year 2010 to 2017. Advances in Business Research International Journal, 91-101.
Published
2023-10-08
How to Cite
Yahya, N. C., Zaki, B. M., Nik Azid, N. N. I., Mohd Ali, N. F., & Hussain, N. A. N. (2023). The Determinants of Household Debt in Malaysia. Information Management and Business Review, 15(3(I), 183-194. https://doi.org/10.22610/imbr.v15i3(I).3528
Section
Research Paper