About stock markets predictability

  • Hicham Benjelloun

Abstract

We argue that the financial markets have a predetermined outcome. They behave deterministically but appear to follow random patterns. Stock prices have nothing to do with future expectations; they are a reflection of previous convictions coming from the confident investors. A financial crisis is the result of the lack of confidence that characterizes a market moments before the crisis. Stocks returns are perfectly correlated to each other and it is possible to obtain high gains consistently. Finally we provide a different way of assessing risk and suggest a method to sense future performances.

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Published
2011-01-15
How to Cite
Benjelloun, H. (2011). About stock markets predictability. Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, 1(1), PP. 26-31. https://doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v1i1.218
Section
Research Paper