The Cognitive and Psychological Bias in Investment Decision-Making Behavior: (Evidence From Indonesian Investor's Behavior)

Keywords: Cognitive bias, Psychological bias, Decision Making Behavior, Qualitative

Abstract

 The purposes of this research were to understand and analyze the behavior of the psychological bias experienced by investors in making investment decisions. Psychological bias experienced by investors led to wrong decision making and fatal losses. This research used qualitative interpretive phenomenology method to understand the phenomenon of decision making based on the perspective of investors. The result showed that: (1) The phenomenon of cognitive bias and psychological bias behavior occur in nearly all informants, (2) The Psychology bias could be divided by two types, namely: expected emotion bias behavior and immediate emotion bias behavior, (3) experience, knowledge of the capital markets and the management of good emotions determine the level of psychological stability and reduce bias behavior that could be raising the return.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Ady, S. U. (2015). Manajemen Psikologi dalam Investasi Saham, Kajian Fenomenologi dalam Sentuhan Behavioral Finance. (Monika Bendatu, Ed.) (1st ed.). Jogja: CV. Andi Offset. Ady, S. U. (2018). The Moral Values of Psychological Stability, Successful Key of Investment. In 1st International Conference on Intellectuals’ Global Responsibility (ICIGR 2017) (Vol. 125, pp. 33–37). Atlantis Press. Ady, S. U., & Mulyaningtyas, A. (2017). Eksplorasi Tingkat Efisiensi Pasar Modal Indonesia, Studi Kasus di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Ekspektra: Jurnal Bisnis Dan Manajemen, 1(2), 103–123. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.23159/ekt.v0i0.184 Ady, S. U., Salim, U., & Susanto, H. (2010). Analisis Variabel yang Berpengaruh terhadap Spread Harga Saham pada Industri Manufaktur di Bursa Efek Jakarta. WACANA, 13(132). Ady, S. U., Sudarma, M., Salim, U., & Aisyah, S. (2013). Psychology’s Factors of Stock Buying and Selling Behavior in Indonesia Stock Exchange (Phenomenology Study of Investor Behavior in Surabaya). IOSR Journal of Business and Management, 7(3), 11–22. Retrieved from www.iosrjournals.org Badshah, W., Irshad, S., & Hakam, U. (2016). Effect of Representativeness Bias on Investment Decision Making. Management and Administrative Sciences Review, 5(1), 26–30. Bodnaruk, A., & Simonov, A. (2016). Loss-averse preferences, performance, and career success of institutional investors. Review of Financial Studies, 29(11), 3140–3176. https://doi.org/10.1093/rfs/hhw053 Bogdan, R., & Biklen, S. K. (2003). Qualitative Reseach for Education: an Introduction to theory and Method (4th ed.). Boston: Pearson. Campbell, W. K., Goodie, A. S., & Foster, J. D. (2004). Narcissism, Confidence, and Risk Attitude. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 17, 297–311. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.475 Cao, M., & Wei, J. (2005). Stock Market Return: A Note on Temperature Anomaly. Journal of Banking and Finance,29(6), 1559–1573. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2004.06.028 Chang, T. Y., Solomon, D. H., & Westerfield, M. M. (2016). Looking for Someone to Blame: Delegation, Cognitive Dissonance, and the Disposition Effect. Journal of Finance, 71(1), 267–302. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.12311 Creswell, J. W. (2007). Qualitative Inquiry and Research Design: Choosing Among Five Approaches. Book (Vol. 2nd ed). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aenj.2008.02.005 Cunha, G. R. (2015). Cognitive Biases and Error in Decision Making. Bairro Santo Agostinho. Damasio, A. R. (2006). Descartes’ Error: Emotion, Reason, And The Human Brain (Revised). Vintage.
Daymon, C., & Holloway, I. (2007). ). Metode-metode Riset Kualitatif dalam Public Relation dan Marketing Communication. (S. I. Astuti, Ed.) (1st ed.). Jogjakarta: PT. Bentang Pustaka. De Bondt, W. F. M. (1998). A Portrait of Individual Investor. European Economic Review, 42, 831–844. Dowling, M., & Lucey, B. M. (2008). Robust Global Mood Influence In Equity Pricing. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 18(2), 145–164. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mulfin.2007.06.002 Emzir. (2010). Metodologi Penelitian Pendidikan: Kuantitatif dan Kualitatif. Jakarta: Rajawali Pers. Glaser, B. G., & Strauss, A. L. (1967). The Discovery of Grounded Theory: Strategies for Qualitative Research. Observations (Vol. 1). https://doi.org/10.2307/2575405 Guba, E. G., & Lincoln, Y. S. (1994). Competing Paradigms in Qualitative Research. Handbook of Qualitative Research, 105–117. https://doi.org/http://www.uncg.edu/hdf/facultystaff/Tudge/Guba%20&%20Lincoln%201994.pdf Guba, E. G., & Lincoln, Y. S. (2004). Competing paradigms in qualitative research. Approaches to Qualitative Research: A Reader on Theory and Practice. https://doi.org/http://www.uncg.edu/hdf/facultystaff/Tudge/Guba%20&%20Lincoln%201994.pdf Hagstrom, R. G. (2010). The Warren Buffett Portfolio: Membedah Keunggulan Strategi Investasi Fokus. (1st ed.). Daras Books. Han, T. A., Pereira, L. M., Santos, F. C., & Lenaerts, T. (2013). Why is it so hard to say sorry? BNAIC 2013: Proceedings of the 25th Benelux Conference on Artificial Intelligence, Delft, The Netherlands, November 7-8, 2013, (maY), 4–9. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.332.7556.1519 Hirshleifer, D., & Shumway, T. (2003). Good Day Sunshine: Stock Return and The Weather. Journal of Finance, 58(3), 1009–1032. Retrieved from https://www.jstor.org/stable/3094570?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents Hu, J. (2008). Does Weather Matter? Departmental Working Papers 0809, 1(October), 1–48. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/smu/ecowpa/0809.html Jahanzeb, A. & Muneer, S. (2012). Implication of behavioral finance in investment decision-making process. Information Management and Business Review, 4(10), 532 Jannah, W., & Ady, S. U. (2017). Analisis Fundamental, Suku Bunga, Dan Overconfidence Terhadap Pengambilan Keputusan Investasi Pada Investor Di Surabaya. Ekspektra: Jurnal Bisnis Dan Manajemen, 1(2), 138–155. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00139728.5 Loewenstein, G. (2000). Emotions in economic theory and economic behavior. The American Economic Review, 90(2), 426–432. https://doi.org/10.2307/117263 Loewenstein, Hsee, C. K., Weber, E. U., & Welch, N. (2001). RiskAsFeelings.pdf. Psychological Bulletin, 127(2), 267–286. https://doi.org/10.1037//0033-2909 127 2.267 Lucey, B. ., & Dowling, M. (2005). The Role Of Feeling In Investor Decision making. Journal Of Economic Surveys, 19(2), 211–237. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0950-0804.2005.00245.x Mitroi, A. (2014). Behavioral Finance: Biased Individual Investment Decision Making; Like the Company but Dislike the Investment. Theoretical and Applied Economics, 21(1), 63–74. Moustakas, C. (1994). Phenomenological Research Methods (1st ed.). USA: Sage Publication. Retrieved from http://methods.sagepub.com/book/phenomenological-research-methods Muneer, S., Jahanzeb, A. & Suwandi. (2016). Income diversification and performance: a comparison of commercial and Islamic banks of Pakistan. Abasyn Journal of Social Sciences, Special Issue, 471-485 Novemsky, N., & Kahneman, D. (2005). The Boundaries of Loss Aversion. Journal of Marketing Research, 42(2), 119–128. https://doi.org/10.1509/jmkr.42.2.119.62292 Pompian, M. M. (2006). Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management How to Build Optimal Portfolios That Account for Investor Biases (1st ed.). New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons. Shefrin, H. (2001). Do investors expect higher returns from safer stocks than from riskier stocks? Journal of Psychology and Financial Markets, 2(4), 176–181. Shefrin, H. (2005). A Behavioral Approach to Asset Pricing. Academic Press. Retrieved from https://www.elsevier.com/books/a-behavioral-approach-to-asset-pricing/shefrin/978-0-08047603-2 Shenton, A. K. (2004). Strategies for ensuring trustworthiness in qualitative research projects. Education for Information. https://doi.org/10.3233/EFI-2004-22201 Teng, C. & Liu, V. W. (2013). The Pre Holiday Effect and Positive Emotion in The Taiwan Stock Market, Investment Analysts Journal, 42(77), 35–43. https://doi.org/10.1080/10293523.2013.11082554
Thaler, R. H. (2005). Advances in Behavioral Finance: Vol. II (1st ed.). New Jersey: Princeton University Press, Russell Sage Foundation. https://doi.org/10.2307/2329257 Yates, J. F. (1991). Judgment and Decision Making. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall. Prentice Hall. https://doi.org/10.1002/bdm.3960040107 Yuksel, A. & Yuksel, A. (2009). Stock Return Seasonality and the Temperature Effect. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 34, 107–116. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/255663240_Stock_Return_Seasonality_and_the_Tempera ture_Effect.
Published
2018-03-15
How to Cite
Ady, S. U. (2018). The Cognitive and Psychological Bias in Investment Decision-Making Behavior: (Evidence From Indonesian Investor’s Behavior). Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, 10(1(J), 86-100. https://doi.org/10.22610/jebs.v10i1(J).2092
Section
Research Paper